Ohio State vs Wisconsin 10/16/2010

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Ohio State is a solid favorite with a 73% chance to beat Wisconsin. Dan Herron is projected for 68 rushing yards and a 54% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 27% of simulations where Wisconsin wins, Scott Tolzien averages 1 TD passes vs 0.79 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.49 TDs to 1.07 interceptions. John Clay averages 98 rushing yards and 1.04 rushing TDs when Wisconsin wins and 84 yards and 0.53 TDs in losses. Ohio State has a 50% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 83% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is WIS +6

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